Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.090163 0.105894 0.123474 0.144567 0.169182 0.196993 0.230797
2025-12-14 0.064597 0.084122 0.108206 0.140057 0.181050 0.232012 0.300182
2025-12-21 0.050786 0.071699 0.099554 0.139292 0.194465 0.268310 0.374645
2025-12-28 0.043298 0.065353 0.096653 0.144183 0.214420 0.314286 0.467024
2026-01-04 0.037993 0.060769 0.094920 0.149655 0.235005 0.362839 0.568741
2026-01-11 0.033452 0.056363 0.092449 0.153146 0.252443 0.408217 0.670935
2026-01-18 0.029234 0.051665 0.088627 0.153606 0.264671 0.446418 0.766063
2026-01-25 0.024867 0.045958 0.082214 0.148638 0.266911 0.468216 0.836333
2026-02-01 0.021048 0.040578 0.075513 0.142055 0.265177 0.482606 0.894999
2026-02-08 0.018402 0.036914 0.071286 0.139187 0.269422 0.507474 0.974639
2026-02-15 0.016045 0.033428 0.066878 0.135291 0.271076 0.527533 1.047374
2026-02-22 0.014651 0.031634 0.065424 0.136826 0.283164 0.568155 1.163589
2026-03-01 0.013052 0.029297 0.062821 0.136217 0.291971 0.605551 1.282555
2026-03-08 0.011370 0.026535 0.058994 0.132622 0.294397 0.631067 1.382044
2026-03-15 0.010176 0.024653 0.056743 0.132048 0.303100 0.670513 1.515995
2026-03-22 0.009527 0.023911 0.056867 0.136726 0.323898 0.738092 1.719576
2026-03-29 0.008975 0.023308 0.057208 0.141929 0.346566 0.812535 1.948165
2026-04-05 0.008356 0.022435 0.056785 0.145245 0.365265 0.880356 2.170399
2026-04-12 0.007639 0.021191 0.055277 0.145682 0.377083 0.933723 2.365471
2026-04-19 0.006739 0.019315 0.051919 0.140966 0.375475 0.954993 2.485492
2026-04-26 0.005881 0.017405 0.048187 0.134716 0.369060 0.963671 2.575226
2026-05-03 0.005281 0.016119 0.045908 0.131993 0.371469 0.994656 2.725992
2026-05-10 0.004711 0.014822 0.043410 0.128295 0.370727 1.017438 2.858239